Board 20
West Deals
Both Vul | | ♠ | Q J 6 | | ♥ | A K Q 8 2 | | ♦ | J 7 3 2 | | ♣ | 7 |
|
| ♠ | K 10 9 8 7 5 | | ♥ | 7 3 | | ♦ | — | | ♣ | Q 9 5 4 3 |
| |
| | | | ♠ | 4 | | ♥ | 10 9 6 | | ♦ | K 9 6 4 | | ♣ | A K J 10 6 |
|
|
| | ♠ | A 3 2 | | ♥ | J 5 4 | | ♦ | A Q 10 8 5 | | ♣ | 8 2 |
|
NS 6♦; S 4♥; N 3♥; EW 4♣; NS 2N; EW 2♠; Par +800: EW 7♣×−3
| West | North | East | South |
| Pass | 1 ♥ | 2 ♣ | 2 ♦ |
| 4 ♣ | 4 ♦ | 5 ♣ | Dbl |
| All pass | | | |
South's 2D weakens East's hand significantly. He appears to fully shown his hand with the 2C and it has gone ''southwards" in the bidding since, so 5C seems a stretch. South is in an awkward position. he knows there is a double fit in the red suits, but if pard is 2-2 in the black suits there could easily be a 3 black losers and say 1 red suit loser.
Not sure I agree with much of the analysis above. While some of those things could happen I don't think it is odds on to be so pessimistic.
ReplyDeleteFirstly from east's perspective, west has bid to 4C - a jump - and the opponent have bid and raised diamonds so east knows partner is short in diamonds and likely to have plenty of trumps to ruff at least some of the diamond losers.
From south's perspective, I would be willing to bet on partner having at most one club on this bid. Not my house but a tidy side wager. Sure its not a guarantee but there is some pretty strong bidding by east west on scant values so they rate to have extra distribution.
Give north a perfect minimum 3=5=4=1 with hAKQ and dK and slam is laydown. Bidding at least 5D is clear cut I think.
Ok, another factor to consider is that when everyone is bidding pard is likely to be minimum for his bid(s). Some partnerships would open 1NT with 2542 shape, therefore there is an inference there is a singleton in his hand.
ReplyDelete